Will Grok 4 Top the Chatbot Leaderboard?
4
1káš3202027
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard
Resolves YES if Grok 4 has the highest Arena Score at any point within one week of it appearing on the leaderboard.
Resolves N/A on Jan 1st 2027 if it doesn't seem like we're going to get a Grok 4.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-4.5 rank above Grok 3 on Chatbot Arena?
37% chance
Until what date will an Google model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena? (>=week)
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
38% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek 3 on the chatbot leaderboard?
98% chance
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?
99% chance
Will Grok 4 release before Chat GPT 5?
25% chance
Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
85% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?