Background: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-gender-passports-canada-1.7440414?cmp=rss
Examples that would resolve NO:
Repeated/widespread incidents of gender-neutral passport holders being detained or denied entry -- even if this only occurs for a couple months
An official government statement that gender-neutral passport holders will be discriminated against
Examples that would resolve YES:
Only an isolated incident of a gender-neutral passport holder being detained or denied
Discrimination occurs that is isolated only to non-Canadians
Discrimination occurs after 2025 is over
No systemic discrimination against Canadian gender-neutral passport holders occurs in 2025
Because this resolves based on my opinion, I will not trade in this market.
1,000@Seanny123 didn't check sources, but bad vibes at least https://bsky.app/profile/erininthemorning.com/post/3lizmxgcagk2a
@Seanny123 this would appear to resolve NO, save for the ambiguity of whether it is truly intended to apply to all travellers. I like Erin's reporting, but I'm thinking I will wait for a more mainstream source to state that it applies to all travellers before resolving.