What will Germany's defense budget be for 2025? (excluding Zeitenwende!)
2
100Ṁ94
Oct 31
54%
€53.25 billion or lower (current plan or lower)
33%
Between €53.26 billion and €79.99 billion
13%
€80 billion or higher

Germany's defense spending has become a focal point of international attention, particularly following U.S. Vice President JD Vance's controversial speech at the 2025 Munich Security Conference (MSC). Vance emphasized the need for European allies, including Germany, to increase their defense contributions. This aligns with ongoing pressure for Germany to modernize its military and meet NATO's 2% GDP target. The initial proposal of €53.25 billion for 2025 faces challenges from various political factions, with some arguing for a significant increase to around €80 billion annually.

This market resolves based on the officially approved German federal budget for 2025 for "Bundesministerium für Verteidigung" (Federal Ministry of Defence). It will close on October 31, 2025, or when the official 2025 German federal budget is approved and published, whichever comes first.

Careful: The special fund "Zeitenwende" with 100 billion Euros is not formally part of the ministry budget and comes on top.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/union-spd-sondierungen-finanzen-100.html

Current plan seems to be a another special fund, so there should be big increase of the ministry budget.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules