will I wake up? [cryonics] | Manifold

will I wake up? [cryonics]

6

5.1kṀ607

2999

6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if I die, and then wake up after cryonic preservation before NYE 2999 (whether or not I die again after waking up). I need to be dead for at least 48h for it to count.

Resolves no if I am still dead by 3000.

If I’m still alive by the year 3k through other means this market also resolves yes. Similarly I’ll take a decently expansive definition of what counts as "myself", strict continuity isn’t required.

If mana becomes much more valuable in the future and someone manipulates this market into resolving No (eg. by sabotaging my corpse) this market resolves in whatever way causes them the most damage.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

that's awesome. will do the same

Is your cryopreservation all paid for and signed and dated and everything?

@asmith I have the life insurance set up, still trying to decide which cryo corp to go with.

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+5% 1d59% chance

Conditional on me dying while signed up with any cryonics organization, will I be revived?

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Which cryonics provider has highest chance of survival? [resolves in a few months, clever market mechanism]

Will I sign up for cryonics?

If I’m successfully cryopreserved, will I be revived?

If I am revived from cryopreservation, will it be bad for me?

[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?

Will I sign up for cryonics by the end of this decade?

Will reviving a cryonics patient be developed before life extension to 200 years?

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Conditional on me dying while signed up with any cryonics organization, will I be revived?

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