Did the gun/ammo that shot Charlie Kirk have genuine pro-transgender references as claimed by Crowder?
81
1kṀ26k
Jan 1
2%
chance

resolves yes only if

  • the gun is the one used by the shooter

  • the bullets and/or gun are confirmed real and exist

  • there are statements clearly pro-transgender on the bullets or gun

  • these can be confirmed by sources that i deem trustworthy

  • the shooter agrees with the statements ie it is not a false flag, by my judgement

also note

  • this market is about the transgender claim, not the antifa claim, so if they reference only pro-antifa statements, that wont be enough to resolve TRUE

  • Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Additional condition for resolving YES: The shooter must end up agreeing with the statements on the gun/bullets.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

at least some on the right got the gist lol

@strutheo mmm. don't like this

i feel like everyone's wrong here because it really did have transcriptions they just weren't quite trans-related

@jim Therefore, I think the only fair resolution is 50%

@jim I agree. It's hard to objectively resolve this.

I literally say it's just about the transgender claim in the text though

@jim you say while holding no YES

@jim That's a crazy interpretation. If the transcriptions weren't trans-related, then he didn't have pro-trans transcriptions on his guns. You wouldn't give a market on him being a black man 50% because he was a man after all.

(I don't hold any positions in this market)

@LukasTilmann jim's joshing

@jim i like how my brain wrote transcriptions instead of inscriptions

bought Ṁ1,500 YES

"Notices bulges; what's this" should absolutely count. That's pretty unambiguous

EDIT: okay, it's NOT unambiguous clearly

opened a Ṁ200 NO at 50% order

@bens that's furry, not trans

@bens that has been a furry meme for as long as ive been on the internet

its funny to think this has changed through internet telephone to be about the bulge itself, and not about the cutsey language/face which was the original emphasis

@strutheo yes, I know the origins, but I think the meaning has shifted over time, and paired with the other language on the bullet (anti-fascist stuff) and the timing of the shot (during a question on trans shootings), I think the meaning is pretty clear

nah this is an internet meme it is not specific to transgender people.... i can see why people might be confused with how its been used lately though, and im sure trump and maga will purposely claim it is, i do not think that is a truthful claim and to resolve this yes would only serve that narrative

im still leaving this open since maybe his other beliefs and postings can change the context for me

bought Ṁ500 NO

@bens I'm sorry, but as an expert on these matters, it really, really hasn't. It's still very solidly a furry meme

@Marnix I am also an internet denizen and uhhh, it's not

can you show me a place where its used in a transgender related way, i cant think of one honestly

@bens literally the only time i have seen "notices ur bulge owo" used in any transgender context it's been in a transphobic context

also note this market says GENUINE as in he has to express these beliefs, if this is a false flag or he is clearly joking based on his other posts, it resolves no

@strutheo if you search "notices bulges" in any webforum (make sure to filter by dates before Sep 12th, lol) you'll get about 80% content from furry community and 20% content from the trans community

I'm not gonna paste screenshots here but like: https://x.com/search?q=%22notices%20bulges%22%20until%3A2025-09-11&f=live&src=typed_query

i feel like this is due to it being a common internet meme people say ironically though, i can find straight people who arent furries also saying it

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules