Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard? | Manifold

Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?

107

1.1kṀ37k

Apr 26

98.6%

chance

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1M

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https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

will wait a while after it comes out

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opened a Ṁ11,900 YES at 37% order

jim order up

@jim cancelling order because https://manifold.markets/Soaffine/is-chocolate-in-the-chatbot-arena-g

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 53% order

@jim Hehe

Would an official ‘thinking’ variant of Grok 3 outperforming r1 count?

@SarM I say yes.

reposted

upgraded to plus by jim!

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