Which method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?

400Ṁ1873

2100

97%

Associate/informant provides suspect’s name

84%

Suspect voluntarily surrenders

81%

Security/doorbell camera footage leading to identification

57%

Fingerprint match from evidence

55%

DNA match from evidence

53%

Social media post or online confession leads to identification

52%

Public tip to police (hotline/Crimestoppers)

40%

Facial recognition match

26%

Ballistics trace links weapon to suspect

21%

Cellphone location/records analysis identifies suspect

15%

Undercover operation or sting identifies suspect

Not found by police in 2025

International cooperation

Automated license plate reader or traffic camera hit

Identified during a routine traffic stop or unrelated arrest

1.4%

Identified while seeking medical treatment

Update 2025-09-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - All methods employed by the police will count toward resolution.
- If multiple methods are used, each such method will resolve Yes.
- Example: DNA match from evidence resolves Yes even if identification came from a tip.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Charlie Kirk shooter

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bought Ṁ20 YES

I pushed surrenders voluntarily way up, as it sounded like from reporting i heard that he was talked into telling police where he was and was arrested without incident.

Which if true I would consider voluntarily surrendering.

@Yakushi12345 💯

@traders Please be aware that all methods used by the police to find/identify/confirm Charlie Kirk's shooter will resolve Yes in this market. As clarified in my previous reply to @wolf, this includes as example evidence later used in court.

How are we defining "find" for the purpose of this market?

E.G. if the shooter is identified by a tip to the police, but DNA evidence is later key to prosecution in court, how does "DNA match from evidence" resolve?

@wolf All the methods employed by the police will count.

In your example, "DNA match from evidence" resolves Yes.

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