Will the Komodo Dragon (Varanus komodoensis) become extinct in the current century?
6
500Ṁ658
2099
26%
chance

This market will resolve YES if the Komodo Dragon is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Komodo_dragon

IUCN red list of threatened species:

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22884/123633058

For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species, excluding captive individuals:

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Too profitable to let go extinct in captivity

bought Ṁ1 NO

It was narrowly spared from extinction in 1990. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Freshman_(1990_film)

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