Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
12
100Ṁ1536
2027
48%
chance

Will it be possible for a non Tesla employee to ride in a fully autonomous Tesla vehicle in California by the end of 2026?

Has to be a paid service that non Tesla employees can use. Has to be in a car not owned or leased by the rider. Has to be a point to point ride of at least 1 mile. Has to be on public roads in a city. Hailing app could be third-party, but car guidance/self-driving must be handled by Tesla.

Boring company tunnels don’t count.

  • Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Safety Driver Clarification:

    • Rides that involve a safety driver in the vehicle will not count as fully autonomous.

    • Only rides with no human intervention in control (i.e., without a safety driver) will meet the criteria for a valid Robo-Taxi service.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Would you agree that operating with a safety driver is not fully autonomous and would not resolve this answer as "yes"?

@WrongoPhD yes, although remote assist is fine

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules