Who will be elected president in 2028?
562
6.8kṀ230k
2028
28%
J.D. Vance
21%
Other
10%
Gavin Newsom
3%
No 2028 Election
3%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Pete Buttigieg
3%
Ritchie Torres
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Joe Rogan
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
Mark Cuban
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
1.9%
Kamala Harris
1.9%
Nikki Haley
1.6%
JB Pritzker
1.3%
Gretchen Whitmer
1.3%
Ron DeSantis
1.1%
Chris Murphy
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What is the case for Other? Surely one of the 60 other options will end up being the democratic nominee.

@HamzaThange The market for Democratic nominee has 100 options, and Other is still at 20%. I think people are just very low confidence on who the Democrats will end up nominating.

@LeeBressler Petition to replace this with Ritchie Torres to avoid arguments later, assuming that's what question creator meant.

@Kraalnaxx yes good catch my bad

opened a Ṁ200 YES at 2% order

@Kraalnaxx @Manifold how do we fix the spelling (should be Ritchie, not Richie)? It doesn’t seem like I can update it even though I added the answer.

@LeeBressler I fixed it, thanks for the heads up!

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 12% order

How does this resolve if there isn't a fair election?

@KevinBurke No 2028 Election

@KevinBurke If there is an unfair election, it resolves to the election winner

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 4% order

Economic indicators seem to be pointing towards a republican 2028 popular vote win. It would be pretty hard for Trump to have a worse economy than Biden did.

@TNTOutburst "Worse" needs quite some qualifiers here. "Worse for electability", maybe.

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 23% order

Is anyone else not getting trader bonuses from options they added even though the trade log shows that trades have been made on them specifically rather than purely being split from the other option?

Is this a bug? Would I get my mana back if I got the creator or a mod to n/a my added options?

filled a Ṁ2 YES at 12% order

@TheAllMemeingEye I’m

I’m pretty sure I wasn’t getting the right amount of new trader bonuses in my last 2 markets.

Why did the option I added already go to 14% lol

@Tetra I think there's a high likelihood of Petr Pavel running for a second presidential term. Can you add him as an option?

Ron Desantis is a real steal here at 0.7%. (Should be trading at 0.0%)

@WrongoPhD Only problem is that you can’t bet NO on options below 1%

filled a Ṁ5 YES at 15% order

@WrongoPhD if trump can't become dictator, can't run again himself, doesn't nominate one of his children, and falls out with Vance like he did with Pence, then wouldn't Ron Desantis or Nikki Haley be the most natural republican nominations given their support base and previous presidential nomination campaigns?

@TheAllMemeingEye You are forgetting that he's less charismatic than Jeb Bush

@WrongoPhD as a zoomer brit my entire knowledge of Jeb Bush comes from this meme without context

Was he known for being uncharismatic?

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Ibozz91 Make a new question for yes or no on wtatever

Add which country to the title.

sold Ṁ0 YES

Is it just me or does this market feel WAY swingier after the betting rework?

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