Will China invade Vietnam before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

19

1kṀ1998

2029

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve yes if there is a significant military incursion on vietnamese soil.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ100 NO

Would a military operation to Paracel and Spratly Islands in the South China Sea count resolve this as a yes? The ownership of those islands are disputed.

No. It would have to be on the mainland.

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Will China declare war on another country by 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

+6% 1d38% chance

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will Vietnam join BRICS before 2030?

Will Vietnam acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Will Vietnam join BRICS before 2030?

Will China declare war on another country by 2030?

Will Vietnam acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules