Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?
7
1kṀ720
2027
41%
chance

People say AI is going to become a big thing. :-/

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ110 YES

@DavidHiggs I would buy it up to at least 50% if I had more mana to spend. It's not just that AGI/transformative AI seems fairly likely before 2030, but also the recent estimates that Q1 is below average in growth. Said pessimistic Q1 2025 growth estimates are overblown, but real.

filled a Ṁ30 NO at 34% order

Cool question

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules