When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
18
100Ṁ595
2029
10%
By April 1st, 2025
23%
It will not go below 38% before he leaves office.
30%
By June 1st, 2025
35%
By September 1st, 2025
50%
By January 1st, 2026
75%
By January 1st, 2029
Resolved
NO
Before he enters office
Resolved
NO
By February 1st, 2025
Resolved
NO
By March 1st, 2025

Trump's approval rating on the day he left office was 38.0%. This market will resolve YES to all options on or after the date that his approval rating dips below this number. If it does not go below this number before he leaves office (at any time, for any reason), all other options will resolve NO.

This will resolve based on the FiveThirtyEight tracker. If it stops functioning or is otherwise deemed unreliable/invalid by the market creator, another website's approval rating tracker will be substituted.

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reposted

News broke tonight that ABC is shutting FiveThirtyEight down. I'll try to have an alternate tracker decided upon and announced here before the next deadline (April 1st).

bought Ṁ3 YES

Resolved first two. Tracker is now live here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/

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