When will AGI be released to the public? | Manifold

When will AGI be released to the public?

24

Never closes

2024

2025+

2030+

2035+

2040+

Not until the next century

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

What exactly counts as AGI? https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.02462 (page 6) is a good system for classifying AIs, and they classify ChatGPT as emerging AGI.

…when will the public be released to AGI?

Captain Phillips GIF

@Ophiuchus How the tables have turned.

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2027?

+12% 1d35% chance

Will we get AGI before 2032?

-8% 1d61% chance

Will we get AGI before 2029?

-3% 1d50% chance

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?

-9% 1d50% chance

Will we get AGI before 2028?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules