Will Febuary 2025 will be the warmest month of Febuary ever recorded (global) ?
11
100Ṁ1062
Mar 1
1.9%
chance

Resolution Source:

Tie Resolution: A tie (when the temperature matches previous records up to two significant digits) will resolve as NO. Only two significant digits will be used to determine the outcome.

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  • February 2025 was the third warmest February globally, with an average ERA5 surface air temperature of 13.36°C, 0.63°C above the 1991-2020 average for February, and only marginally warmer, by 0.03°C, than the fourth warmest of 2020.
    https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-bulletins

@ChristopherRandles

“February 2025 was 1.59°C above the estimated 1850-1900 average used to define the pre-industrial level and was the 19th month in the last 20 months for which the global-average surface air temperature was more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level.“

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