
๐ OpenLLMs: Will Any Open Source LLM on the HuggingFace OpenLLM Leaderboard Significantly Gain in Avg Score by YE 2024?
9
150แน441Jan 1
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Previous market on this topic:
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/open-source-llms-will-any-open-sour
I reserve the right to upgrade the metric used if the one used in the above market is stale. I aim to have things finalized for this market by end of January 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@ashly_webb Yes, because the question is, will ANY OpenLLM...so any includes future, doesn't exist yet.
Related questions
Related questions
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will an open-source LLM under 10B parameters surpass Claude 3.5 Haiku by EOY 2025?
82% chance
What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? ๐ค๐
Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?
37% chance
EOY 2025: Will open LLMs match closed-source LLMs on coding to within 50 ELO points?
29% chance
Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
84% chance
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
83% chance
Will an open source LLM (Vicuna, Alpaca, etc.) exceed ChatGPT interest by 2030?
59% chance
Will there exist an LLM which can beat the latest version of AlphaZero by EOY 2024?
4% chance
Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
13% chance