Will SpaceX's HLS lander launch by 2025?
8
170Ṁ1720Jan 2
1.3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch.
For the purposes of this market the HLS test vehicle will count as HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
84% chance
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2026?
17% chance
Will Elon Musk's SpaceX Land Anything Fully Functional According on Mars during 2025?
2% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
76% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Non-SpaceX propulsive first stage landing by 2025?
29% chance
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
27% chance
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
81% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
70% chance