
This market is inspired by @diadematus market aiming for a sub-45 10k:
Resolution criteria:
I will need to register a 10k GPS tracked run with a start and stop of tracking with less than 45 minutes between (so none of the "moving time" bullshit that Strava offers).
If this run occurs before a point when @diadematus manages to achieve a sub-45 min 10k run and before December 31st 2025, this market will resolve to YES.
Anything else will cause resolving to NO.
I will only buy YES positions in this market.
I am not allowed to divest from bought YES holdings.
PB: 47m24s, Sep 2025
Most recent 10k attempt: 47m24s, Sep 2025
Strava profile:
https://www.strava.com/athletes/72522361
Since I currently have a case of shin splints and not doing regular runs you can follow my progress on the rowing machine here:
https://log.concept2.com/profile/2645665
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,014 | |
| 2 | Ṁ0 |
"NO" holders can rest easy another week or two. Will have to give it another try on flatter ground. The climb during the last 1500m made any finish under 45min impossible
@BobbyLee @diadematus Earnings projection warning. Un-named source with close connection has seen the following, claimed 800m warm-up with subsequent 10k in 44min26sec.

To reduce the amount of insider information I keep to myself I've signed up for a Concept2 account and will be logging my rowing workouts there while the runs aren't happening
https://log.concept2.com/profile/2645665
@Tarl i'm clearly way off track, but i would say you're quite far off (Imho)...what happens if both of us don't get there this year? since this market has only 3 traders i propose extending the deadline to like March 2026 and changing the resolution rules to allow for resolving whoever got closest). i'm fine with agreeing to n/a it as well although that will be unsatisfying
@diadematus my market would resolve no, I guess I could make it clearer with failure to do the time by market close results in a NO
@Tarl regardless, I am going to recommit myself to my goal and give it one last shot at consistency for like 8 weeks, before i give up. so this market is an easy NO
@diadematus seem to have injured or damaged one knee. Having some pain while putting weight on it. Will probably abstain from any real running until I've had at least ~2 weeks of the pain disappearing. Time to load up on the "No" position
@diadematus Nothing new. Currently getting ready for a move so will probably be bad with consistency for two weeks.






