Will Volt be elected into the next Hamburg Parliament (2025)?
11
1kṀ5609
Dec 31
2%
chance

Background :

Hamburg state election 2025: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Hamburg_state_election

Volt Europa:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volt_Europa

Polling for Hamburg parliament:

https://politpro.eu/en/hamburg

The threshold for entering the Hamburg parliament is 5%

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to YES if Volt receives at least one seat in the 2025 Hamburg state election.

It will resolve to NO if:

  • Volt participates but does not gain at least one seat in the 2025 Hamburg state election

  • Volt does not participate in the election

  • The election is cancelled or postponed beyond 2025

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I am iffy about resolving this even though the final results are not out yet. I am keeping a watch tough and the final results will most likely be out soon.

bought Ṁ500 NO

No way volt will outperform the polls enough to actually get in. Wishing then all the best anyways.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules