When will ClaudePlaysPokemon obtain the 3rd badge (Thunder Badge) from Lt. Surge?
10
300Ṁ1976
Mar 28
0.6%
Tue, Feb 25
0.7%
Wed, Feb 26
0.7%
Thu, Feb 27
0.6%
Fri, Feb 28
1%
Sat, Mar 1
3%
Sun, Mar 2
39%
Anytime week of Mar 3
43%
In March after March 9th
5%
April
2%
May
2%
June or after in 2025
2%
In 2026, later, or never



Claude 3.7 is playing Pokemon Red! You can follow along it's progress. Internally, it's gotten as far as the Thunder Badge, but this is a slightly different harness.

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  • This market resolves based on what happens on stream, however it happens. If an admin intervenes and helps, I think that'd be sad, but so be it. If they restart its progress, so be it.

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Fascinatingly, the whole Manifold "explore" tab plays chiptunes if this market is on the list. It's very festive, if surprising.

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