News is that 538 is getting shut down by ABC/Disney. What company (if any) will fulfill this role by the end of 2026?

At the end of 2026, I will assess which polling aggregators are being used by major publications, bloggers, tv shows on the midterms, etc...

If there are, say, 2 very clearly tied polling aggregators, this could resolve 50/50 (or 33/33/33). However, I am incentivized to pick just one if at all possible.

Resolves just before the 2026 midterms. Resolution may be subjective so I will not bet in this market, obviously.

If there is not even a single company/polling aggregator that could qualify as a "consensus aggregator", resolves to "THERE IS NO CONSENSUS AGGREGATOR".