Background

"Abundance Policies" refer to a political and economic framework advocated by writers like Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson that focuses on creating more of what people need rather than managing scarcity. This approach emphasizes investments in areas like housing, clean energy, education, and infrastructure to drive down costs and increase accessibility. The concept stands in contrast to "austerity politics" or purely redistributive approaches.

Ezra Klein has discussed this framework in his New York Times columns and podcast, while Derek Thompson has explored similar themes in his Atlantic articles and "Abundance Agenda" writings. These policies often cross traditional partisan lines, combining progressive goals with market-oriented mechanisms.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if, by November 5, 2028, the Democratic presidential nominee makes abundance politics a central pillar of their campaign, as evidenced by:

• Explicitly framing their platform around increasing supply in critical sectors.

• Proposing major reforms to ease housing, infrastructure, or energy production bottlenecks.

• Prioritizing technological advancement and economic growth policies beyond redistribution.

The market resolves to NO if these themes remain marginal or are absent from the nominee’s core policy agenda.

Considerations

The Democratic Party's policy direction could be influenced by several factors between now and 2028, including:

• The outcomes of the 2024 election and subsequent governance

• Changing economic conditions and voter priorities

• Internal party dynamics between progressive, moderate, and other factions

• The specific individuals who emerge as party leaders and presidential contenders