Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30 | Manifold

Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30

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The fact that deepseek is there with an MIT license is

1) bloody awesome

2) should make it easier to surpass for everyone else since they can directly build on it

I think deepseek's current results are easy to replicate. But not sure what Xai's release schedule is going to look like.

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will xAI open-source Grok 2 by April 30?

will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?

Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?

Will xAI ship an AI model similar to Deep Research before February 4, 2026?

Will X be merged into xAI in 2025?

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

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Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?

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