This question resolves YES if Trump imposes any tariffs on Canada during his second term that were not already in place.
This question will only resolve once tariffs are actually in effect, or when Trump's second term ends.
Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Mainstream Media Confirmation Requirement
The market will resolve YES only after there is confirmation from mainstream media that goods have been sold with the tariff applied.
This evidence is required as proof that the tariff is effectively in place.
Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Evidence Requirement Clarification:
Proof of Transaction: The market will resolve YES if verifiable evidence shows that money has changed hands as a result of Trump's tariffs on Canada.
Post-Tariff Removal: Even if the tariffs are later removed, the market will resolve YES if there is proof that tariff money was paid.
Resolution Status: Without such evidence, the market will remain unresolved.
1,000@traders if anyone has proof money has changed hands so far as a result of Trump's tariffs on Canada please reply here. Otherwise this will stay unresolved.
Please note that if tariffs are removed, but proof emerges that tariff money was paid previously, this would resolve YES.
@Seanny123 possibility of another reversal seems big enough https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-lutnick-ford-leblanc-tariffs-1.7474859
I think this will resolve YES tomorrow.
China Retaliates After Trump Announces Steep Tariffs: Live Updates - The New York Times
Trump slaps 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-steel-aluminum-canada-1.7455173?cmp=rss
Waiting for goods to be sold with the tariff applies as before.
When asked about aluminum, he responded, "aluminum, too" will be subject to the trade penalties.
Everybody else on the plane 💭 Why did you ask about aluminum, you idiot
"Trump to pause promised tariffs for 30 days after speaking with Trudeau" - CBC
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-trump-speak-trade-war-1.7448805
They will get rescinded today according to the financial markets. No reason to spook.
@10thOfficial Canada already tried to give Trump what he said he wanted to avoid having tariffs put in place - a plan for significant increases in investment in border security, including mumble mumble fentanyl bad, back in December Government of Canada announces its plan to strengthen border security and our immigration system - Canada.ca. Also we bought a bunch of helicopters and stuff and deliberately tried to get on Fox News to show pretty pictures of being all tough on the things Trump wants toughness on, to give him a plausible public-relations win.
This isn't a case of "is Canada too dumb to give the idiot a way of backing down gracefully from his idiocy?", it's "an idiot has power in the US, and is going to do what he feels like, because he can, regardless of whether it makes sense or is good for anyone involved, buckle up".
@equinoxhq Yes, I fell for some nonsense opinion commentary, please disregard my previous comment. I can't keep up with this, it is simply crazy.
@10thOfficial the volume of
"Trump did what now? How could that possibly make sense?" to keep up with, is challenging, for sure. I want it to make sense, for Trump to be a rational actor whose actions are predictable based on his interests or world-model, someone who can be reasoned or bargained with if you understand him. But, looks to me like that's just not who Trump is. I'm guessing the retaliatory tariffs will have him throwing a temper tantrum and retaliating against the injustice of it all, which is gonna suck, but whatever, giving him what he said he wanted didn't work, and at some point the negative consequences will bite enough that he'll stop or be stopped. Or it'll be a very rough few years for everyone, but in any case, giving him what he says he wants doesn't seem to pay off - maybe that can at least be a lesson to everyone he tries to bully in future.
@10thOfficial @equinoxhq Call is concluding soon, month delay incoming. Better hold next time. More holding, less dooming. Stay off Twitter and Reddit.
@Predictor I'm not on Twitter or Reddit. I mean, I have an account on Twitter, but I rarely go there. Even if a month delay occurs, much damage has already been done, by pissing off one of America's largest trading partners and introducing a large amount of uncertainty into the business plans of any organization that trades across the border. This by itself will harm both countries, to no one's benefit.