Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body. If no candidate is declared the winner, it will resolve to "No."
Request your candidate in comments.
1,000@predyx_markets I guess another popular option is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - could you please add? Thanks!
Arbitrage opportunities here: https://manifold.markets/DionysusTheMad/which-party-will-win-the-2028-us-pr-E8CyqPtIAN
@DionysusTheMad This will be a great market for real arbitrage opportunity, we purposely omitted "Other" :) Just two options.
@predyx_markets Interesting. Why do that?
Regardless, definitely healthy for the platform to have both markets I guess.
@ShakedKoplewitz Sure, can we get few more people to weigh in to add Abigail Spanberger. Existing participants, please reply to this comment for your approval to add Abigail Spanberge.
@predyx_markets I think she should be around 10%
Currently she leads polls
Lots of time for that to change of course, but I think her stock will go up in a way that I'll be able to cash out
@yaakovgrunsfeld won't most people assume she'd lose badly like last time even if that isn't actually true