New tariffs beginning of 4 March is before EOD Mardi Gras

@strutheo 16e Released 28 Feb

@strutheo
24 F9 launches with IM-2 launch a few minutes ago
1 (failed) starship launch

@strutheo
"reportedly start filming this summer ahead of a reported release date of December 2026."
Seems rather vague and not officially announced?
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/dune-3-messiah-movie-release-date-b2701380.html

But if there is lots of information and timeline for filming and release, is there a risk that it is never officially announced? Guess there still has to be some official confirmation?

@strutheo
Feb 19th?
https://www.macworld.com/article/1354114/new-iphone-se-release-date-se4-16e-design-specs-features.html

Grok 3 is currently available exclusively to X Premium Plus subscribers.
@strutheo

@strutheo Why is grok 3 resolved at 1%? Shouldn't it be 9%?

@ChristopherRandles oops yes... Sorry I was on mobile can you fix @mods . Also can we change it so I can unresolve stuff longer than an hour ago

@strutheo although Feb 13 passed it has definitely NOT been fat tuesday / mardi gras. Not sure which takes precedence

@TotalVerb mardi gras isn't until March 4

@TotalVerb oops thanks can @mods unresolved Mardi gras

@strutheo Done.

@strutheo been unresolved. So change title to 8 done?

What tariffs has Trumo enacted on Mexico? He has only threatened to do so

@ChrisMillsc5f7 ah true

@strutheo @mods can unresolve mexico thanks

@strutheo https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgj20g19z2qo
When does 'mass' quantities start?

Also re
trump enacts new or changed tariffs on mexico
Does it have to be specifically on Mexico. i.e. Would increased steel/alunminium tariff on everywhere outside USA count?

@strutheo did this count for Nintendo switch announced officially? https://www.polygon.com/nintendo-switch-2/452161/switch-2-nintendo-direct-april-2025-date

@strutheo Did he enact them to start tomorrow then cancel them before they took effect?
Is that a happened or not?

So if nothing else happens before mardi gras and my "payout on no" is 100, i would get 80?

@ChrisMillsc5f7 I think it will resolve to 7% as some have already happened. Buy it back up!

See the other answers to check what’s happened already, and he’s added [6 DONE] to the title. It’s a little unfortunate they stack at the bottom so you need to see all and scroll down to check

@Gen but it says as of 2025.02.01 resolution %s start at 80

@Gen but see comment on 02.01.

6 done already!

@strutheo 6*12 = 72 seems pretty close to 73 that happened last year. Not sure that is a good reliability assessment of how many this year but perhaps better than the silly AI summary.