🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (7/100 DONE)
198
20kṀ38k
2120
9%
Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)
9%
USA discontinues or changes penny coin
10%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
12%
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
14%
Another MLB perfect game pitched
14%
Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire
14%
Sagrada Familia Church completed
15%
Shrek 5 releases
16%
Half Life 3 releases
17%
The first $5T market cap company
17%
Human runs official marathon under 2h
17%
Skibidi Toilet ends
18%
a USA president impeached again
18%
One piece manga ends
18%
Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases
19%
Bitcoin reaches $150K USD
20%
Putin no longer in power in Russia
20%
Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken
21%
Price of gold hits $5000/oz
22%
Human walks on moon again

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)

If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.

If there is a renumbering or new product (eg. the next Civilization game after 6 is named something else) I'll update the answers the best I can in the spirit of the question, a lot will change over 100+ years.

If an option becomes impossible, ask and I'll try to clarify in the answer text. If it cannot be done in a good way, we'll NA that option.

For the future mods that have to deal with this good luck.

  • Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Options related to Monthly Active Users (MAU) are being removed from the market due to changes in the relevant statistics.

  • Update 2025-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "USA discontinues or changes penny coin": This will resolve when penny production ceases, which is expected to occur in early 2026 when the remaining penny blanks run out.

  • Update 2025-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "USA discontinues or changes penny coin": This will resolve when penny production ceases, which is expected to occur in early 2026 when the remaining penny blanks run out.

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bought Ṁ40 NO

@strutheo I believe this has happened. I'm struggling to find an official Treasury source that has confirmed that pennies are no longer being produced as of right now, but there are many articles about the Treasury stating it had placed its last order for pennies in May '25, and my local grocery store had a sign out yesterday stating that pennies were in shortage due to no longer being produced.

@RedzoneITG i see:

Those blanks, which are manufactured into pennies, will run out in early 2026, at which point penny production will cease.

bought Ṁ1 YES

@strutheo That's what all the articles from May '25 say, but recent developments lead me to believe that this may have already happened. example: https://www.inc.com/bruce-crumley/the-penny-shortage-is-adding-up-frustration-among-small-retailers/91253705

It's probably fair to wait until we get an official announcement that all US mints have stopped penny production, but the combination of the Treasury's May announcement with the current reports of businesses now lacking in pennies made me think there was enough evidence for a possible resolution here,

@RedzoneITG will keep an eye out

@strutheo This can resolve

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 69% order

I have green eyes and there's a non-zero chance I could become the president so watch out

The Pope one can resolve to 6% — Pope Leo XIV has been popified.

removing the MAU ones because stats have changed.

@strutheo By American copyright law? It seems at least Love Me Do entered the public domain in the EU in 2013.

@strutheo Released Feb. 11, resolves 5%

reposted

This is one of my favorite markets, 4/100 events done so far.

bought Ṁ500 NO

@strutheo Bitcoin has hit 100k

@strutheo Mario 64 has a 120 star speedrun in 1:35:28

https://www.speedrun.com/sm64

120 star just hit

shrek 5 just announced for 2026 some time

apparently likely to happen some time after the US adds the 52nd state

bought Ṁ10 NO

Haha, I'll arb that

coming up soon

Happening Thursday

good find haha

uhoh (not canceled yet though!)

theyre now claiming end of 2026 for this

reposted

our first resolution 67 days after creation !

Just clarifying — would this mean:

(A) [the previous incarnation that comes BEFORE the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the 20th Doctor],

or

(B) [the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the next incarnation that comes AFTER the 20th Doctor]?

And a similar "(A) or (B)?" for the "25th Doctor" question.

@PaintspotInfez the 20th one is revealed and becomes the new one , is what i meant

@strutheo - so (A) presumably. Got it! :D

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