🎃What will happen in October 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

675Ṁ6390

Nov 1

99%

Hurricane landfall in more than 2 islands

99%

Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month

98.9%

Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%

98.6%

dick cheney still alive at end of month

98%

Sam Altman still CEO through end of month

97%

noam chomsky alive until end of month

92%

Federal Reserve cuts interest rates

85%

Melissa is still a Cat 1+ Hurricane by the 31st

69%

major tech company merger/acquisition announced

55%

In public remarks, Trump speaks three or more consecutive sentences that can pass Microsoft Word 365's default grammar check.

50%

nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain

31%

Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba

20%

Category 3+ Hurricane in The Gulf of America

12%

$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month

12%

usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon

11%

Volcano dormant for half a year erupts

another indictment revealing a right wing media personality is taking money from russia

spacex launches 15 or more rockets

trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times

web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month

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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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@Zacd by the beginning of 31st or by the end of 31st or?
Also what time zone?

@ChristopherRandles end of the 31st (end of month) we will just use EDT time zone i think

@Zacd @strutheo Hurricane Melissa is now over Category 3 and will enter the Gulf soon after passing over Jamaica. Resolves YES?

@Chumchulum no, it is not forecasted to go into the gulf

@Zacd it is currently making landfall in Jamaica

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 26% order

@strutheo Resolves YES

https://malawi24.com/2025/10/24/tanzania-bans-x-twitter-ahead-of-general-election-amid-rising-political-tensions/

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bought Ṁ85 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES? https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/22/meta-layoffs-ai.html

Meta lays off 600 from 'bloated' AI unit as Wang cements leadership

The cuts did not impact employees within TBD Labs, which includes many of the top-tier AI hires brought into Meta this summer, people familiar told CNBC.

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